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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$59.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$47.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $407.2k volume · 734 trades · since Jan 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,406
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$55.4k
Closed-position win rate
79%
53 closed
Wallet age · markets
289d
66 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6ecedf…