sifonman

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Heat vs. Hornets+$425Heat · avg 55¢ → 56¢ · $16.5k · 0 proven with, 2 against UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)+$122Merab Dvalishvili · avg 41¢ → 42¢ · $10.2k

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$209.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$50.6k

Last 30 days +$12.3k · $3.48M volume · 1,049 trades · since Aug 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$50.2k

Open P&L · 2 positions

+$548

Closed-position win rate

60%

206 closed

Wallet age · markets

58d

194 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Eagles vs. Bears	MED BUY Bears @ 71¢	$42.5k 3.3× usual	71%	25d ago	excluded
Rams vs. Broncos	MED BUY Rams @ 77¢	$50.7k 3.9× usual	77%	26d ago	excluded
Vikings vs. Buccaneers	LOW BUY Vikings @ 72¢	$27.7k 2.1× usual	72%	26d ago	excluded
Falcons vs. Packers	LOW BUY Falcons @ 70¢	$12.8k	70%	29d ago	excluded
Raiders vs. Chargers	LOW BUY Chargers @ 64¢	$13.0k	64%	33d ago	excluded
Eagles vs. Titans	LOW BUY Eagles @ 70¢	$12.2k	70%	33d ago	excluded
Panthers vs. Falcons	LOW BUY Panthers @ 73¢	$11.8k	73%	34d ago	excluded
Packers vs. Jets	LOW BUY Packers @ 57¢	$12.6k	57%	34d ago	excluded
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners	LOW BUY Texas Rangers @ 86¢	$10.3k	86%	43d ago	excluded
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies	LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 83¢	$16.2k	83%	51d ago	excluded

Eagles vs. Bearsexcluded

BUY Bears @ 71¢$42.5k

MED sifonman · 25d ago

Rams vs. Broncosexcluded

BUY Rams @ 77¢$50.7k

MED sifonman · 26d ago

Vikings vs. Buccaneersexcluded

BUY Vikings @ 72¢$27.7k

LOW sifonman · 26d ago

Falcons vs. Packersexcluded

BUY Falcons @ 70¢$12.8k

LOW sifonman · 29d ago

Raiders vs. Chargersexcluded

BUY Chargers @ 64¢$13.0k

LOW sifonman · 33d ago

Eagles vs. Titansexcluded

BUY Eagles @ 70¢$12.2k

LOW sifonman · 33d ago

Panthers vs. Falconsexcluded

BUY Panthers @ 73¢$11.8k

LOW sifonman · 34d ago

Packers vs. Jetsexcluded

BUY Packers @ 57¢$12.6k

LOW sifonman · 34d ago

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersexcluded

BUY Texas Rangers @ 86¢$10.3k

LOW sifonman · 43d ago

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockiesexcluded

BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 83¢$16.2k

LOW sifonman · 51d ago

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