← Wallets
+$4,621Yes · avg 41¢ → 53¢ · $21.0k−$5,961Yes · avg 22¢ → 16¢ · $16.8k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -27.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-27.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$58.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±44.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$13.9k
Last 30 days −$27.3k · $2.88M volume · 2,456 trades · since Dec 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$94.0k
Open P&L · 21 positions
−$22.0k
Closed-position win rate
50%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
298d
541 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -27.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 73¢ | $22.7k | missed |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6ac0ca…