bigteddys

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$95.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$192.7k

Last 30 days +$0 · $1.51M volume · 1,406 trades · since Oct 09, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$182.0k

Open P&L · 6 positions

−$10.3k

Closed-position win rate

45%

161 closed

Wallet age · markets

380d

163 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED BUY No @ 69¢	$65.9k 3.6× usual	69%	238d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	LOW BUY Pistons @ 75¢	$10.7k	75%	239d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Raptors	LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢	$18.5k	0%	240d ago	excluded

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY No @ 69¢$65.9k

MED bigteddys · 238d ago

Cavaliers vs. Pistonsexcluded

BUY Pistons @ 75¢$10.7k

LOW bigteddys · 239d ago

Spurs vs. Raptorsexcluded

SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢$18.5k

LOW bigteddys · 240d ago

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