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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +10.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+10.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$60.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.1k
Last 30 days −$4,198 · $3.45M volume · 2,037 trades · since Oct 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$539.1k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$2,631
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
386d
1045 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +10.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 72¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 87¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Nets vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Celtics @ 90¢ | $18.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x685d79…