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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$70.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$30.4k
Last 30 days −$0 · $1.53M volume · 1,051 trades · since Jan 17, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$15.7k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$14.4k
Closed-position win rate
62%
94 closed
Wallet age · markets
1376d
86 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $49.6k | excluded |
 Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 86¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x685378…