Denv

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$38.0kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $102.5k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$38.0kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $26.5k UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)+$7Petr Yan · avg 60¢ → 74¢ · $37

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$99.5k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$19.4k

Last 30 days −$13.5k · $6.83M volume · 12,008 trades · since Feb 26, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$194.9k

Open P&L · 21 positions

−$97.6k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

240d

618 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$49.9k	0%	198d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢	$49.6k	99%	199d ago	excluded

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$49.9k

LOW Denv · 198d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.2¢$49.6k

LOW Denv · 199d ago

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