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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$46.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.94M volume · 3,506 trades · since Oct 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$14.3k
Open P&L · 12 positions
−$41.9k
Closed-position win rate
88%
114 closed
Wallet age · markets
732d
— markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $23.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x66b840…