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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -19.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-19.8 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$63.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±39.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$47.2k
Last 30 days −$4,409 · $7.72M volume · 32,137 trades · since Jun 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$563.5k
Open P&L · 373 positions
−$70.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
139d
4590 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -19.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 60¢ | $23.5k | called |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $10.9k | missed |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $10.3k | missed |
 Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x65b57f…