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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +24.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+24.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$37.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$780
Last 30 days −$34.0k · $450.9k volume · 92 trades · since Aug 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$81.1k
Open P&L · 23 positions
−$78.4k
Closed-position win rate
94%
54 closed
Wallet age · markets
57d
77 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | +24.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $19.3k | called |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $18.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x64f232…