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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +34.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+34.3 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$35.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$72.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.77M volume · 159 trades · since Feb 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$179.7k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$105.6k
Closed-position win rate
59%
94 closed
Wallet age · markets
243d
110 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | +34.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Knicks vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Knicks @ 49¢ | $11.8k | called |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Celtics @ 74¢ | $10.8k | called |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Celtics @ 74¢ | $12.6k | called |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x648dea3a70861ada31255dbabe0b070e98071366"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x648dea3a70861ada31255dbabe0b070e98071366.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x648dea…