← Wallets
+$29Under · avg 55¢ → 59¢ · $436+$21Under · avg 50¢ → 55¢ · $242
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -31.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-31.3 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$25.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$132.2k
Last 30 days −$7,277 · $13.60M volume · 28,434 trades · since Nov 12, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.57M
Open P&L · 158 positions
−$126.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
346d
3461 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.6 | -31.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Bulls vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 88¢ | $13.3k | missed |
 Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | LOW BUY Duke Blue Devils @ 51¢ | $12.6k | missed |
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