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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$75.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$16.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.91M volume · 1,041 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$30.4k
Open P&L · 22 positions
−$46.5k
Closed-position win rate
36%
250 closed
Wallet age · markets
318d
267 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 98.9¢ | $51.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5f82fe…