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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$189.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$40.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $833.6k volume · 554 trades · since Jun 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$13.7k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$59.6k
Closed-position win rate
74%
113 closed
Wallet age · markets
1590d
98 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 91.2¢ | $46.8k | missed |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 87¢ | $86.7k 2.3× usual |
called |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $25.5k | missed |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $30.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5aca60…