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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$272.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,676
Last 30 days −$0 · $1.69M volume · 49 trades · since Jun 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$7,676
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
40%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
848d
5 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED SELL Yes @ 92.4¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90.9¢ | $49.7k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 94.2¢ | $108.4k 2.2× usual |
missed |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93.6¢ | $39.0k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92.6¢ | $25.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5a18d7…