← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -27.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-27.3 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$64.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$42.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.18M volume · 2,498 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$11.4k
Open P&L · 50 positions
−$30.5k
Closed-position win rate
35%
213 closed
Wallet age · markets
543d
253 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -73.7 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +19.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $14.1k | missed |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $12.0k | called |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 95.4¢ | $19.1k | missed |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $19.0k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x58f4d3b7dc4ed3bba763c620264b987cc75812a9"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x58f4d3b7dc4ed3bba763c620264b987cc75812a9.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x58f4d3…