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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -6.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.9 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$45.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$10.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $924.3k volume · 149 trades · since Jun 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$23.9k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$33.7k
Closed-position win rate
71%
14 closed
Wallet age · markets
119d
17 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 2.2 | -6.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY France @ 60¢ | $19.5k | missed |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 75¢ | $15.2k | called |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢ | $10.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x58e426…