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Montaigne

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$172.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$244.4k
Last 30 days +$78.7k · $59.23M volume · 110,836 trades · since Mar 16, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$23.9k
Open P&L · 39 positions
−$38.3k
Closed-position win rate
85%
223 closed
Wallet age · markets
222d
67235 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $10.8k0% 125d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $161.9k100% 200d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x583582…