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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +30.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+30.6 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$255.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$75.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.34M volume · 147 trades · since Nov 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$153.8k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$77.9k
Closed-position win rate
50%
12 closed
Wallet age · markets
718d
18 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | +30.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $13.1k | missed |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢ | $13.7k | called |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $24.1k | called |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $10.2k | called |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $194.7k 14.3× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5601f1…