← Wallets
−$23Down · avg 95¢ → 72¢ · $69
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -11.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-11.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$11.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$70.7k
Last 30 days −$1 · $872.6k volume · 923 trades · since Apr 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$70.5k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$191
Closed-position win rate
65%
83 closed
Wallet age · markets
202d
75 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -11.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $11.1k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x54c98f…