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balekadyr

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$592.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$81.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.32M volume · 1,319 trades · since Jun 16, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$20.1k
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$100.9k
Closed-position win rate
91%
43 closed
Wallet age · markets
130d
52 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢ $13.6k86% 109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $299.9k0% 112d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceMED BUY Argentina @ 93¢ $279.2k93% 113d agocalled

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