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nutmegger

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$4.86M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$2.25M
Last 30 days +$0 · $12.60M volume · 1,623 trades · since Jun 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1.95M
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$4.15M
Closed-position win rate
100%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
129d
6 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?HIGH BUY No @ 61¢ $3.19M61% 128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?HIGH BUY Yes @ 59¢ $1.67M59% 128d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x53bed1…