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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did +28.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+28.7 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$102.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$39.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.71M volume · 6,587 trades · since Apr 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$47.9k
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$53.2k
Closed-position win rate
81%
16 closed
Wallet age · markets
195d
33 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | +28.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $40.8k | called |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL Yes @ 38¢ | $62.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5357cf…