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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -69.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-69.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$20.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$45.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $107.8k volume · 6 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,992
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$40.8k
Closed-position win rate
0%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
131d
5 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.4 | -69.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $10.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x521963…