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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -24.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-24.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$56.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.7k
Last 30 days −$11.6k · $2.26M volume · 4,016 trades · since Oct 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$166.7k
Open P&L · 86 positions
−$35.8k
Closed-position win rate
94%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
386d
790 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | -24.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Eagles @ 65¢ | $15.6k | missed |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Rams @ 51¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Rams @ 54¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 84¢ | $14.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x50f97e…