0x4fc4…9b35

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?−$0No · avg 93.4¢ → 92.8¢ · $10

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$29.4k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$16

Last 30 days −$6 · $29.7k volume · 20 trades · since Feb 13, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$16

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$0

Closed-position win rate

77%

13 closed

Wallet age · markets

253d

14 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$14.7k	1%	253d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$14.7k	99%	253d ago	excluded

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$14.7k

LOW 0x4fc4…9b35 · 253d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$14.7k

LOW 0x4fc4…9b35 · 253d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x4fc4abb4791132a3bb60748ee06bbca3f1979b35"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x4fc4abb4791132a3bb60748ee06bbca3f1979b35.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4fc4ab…