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no1yet

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?−$11.0kYes · avg 85¢ → 63¢ · $31.5k
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$475.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$40.0k
Last 30 days +$15.2k · $12.10M volume · 2,570 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$48.0k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$11.0k
Closed-position win rate
90%
153 closed
Wallet age · markets
719d
153 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $98.9k100% 170d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.4¢ $14.5k2% 188d agoexcluded
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $137.1k100% 196d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $75.2k99% 206d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $43.8k100% 206d agoexcluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $105.5k99% 282d agoexcluded

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