messixyz

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?+$2,172No · avg 6.9¢ → 48¢ · $2,542 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?−$26Yes · avg 38¢ → 36¢ · $466 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?+$13Yes · avg 9¢ → 17¢ · $28 · 0 proven with, 1 against

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$13.4k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$3,139

Last 30 days +$2,272 · $3.42M volume · 1,926 trades · since May 20, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$4,359

Open P&L · 58 positions

−$7,333

Closed-position win rate

84%

67 closed

Wallet age · markets

157d

119 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢	$13.4k	98%	156d ago	excluded

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.5¢$13.4k

LOW messixyz · 156d ago

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