← Wallets
+$20.6kNo · avg 50¢ → 80¢ · $54.5k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -65.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-65.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$91.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$21.0k
Last 30 days +$1,015 · $1.58M volume · 324 trades · since Aug 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$55
Open P&L · 6 positions
+$13.6k
Closed-position win rate
39%
56 closed
Wallet age · markets
799d
88 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -65.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $10.0k | missed |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $50.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4c375c…