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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +30.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+30.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$42.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3,956
Last 30 days −$27.8k · $630.0k volume · 288 trades · since Jul 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$2,501
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$721
Closed-position win rate
51%
178 closed
Wallet age · markets
96d
188 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +30.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $12.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x48c938…