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100www

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?+$25No · avg 97¢ → 98.8¢ · $1,414
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$110.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,457
Last 30 days +$10 · $5.74M volume · 8,672 trades · since Apr 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$89.6k
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$90.5k
Closed-position win rate
80%
233 closed
Wallet age · markets
185d
206 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 77¢ $33.0k77% 112d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ $11.0k87% 112d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $66.0k99% 144d agoexcluded

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