Rolandzc

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?−$250Yes · avg 49¢ → 9.5¢ · $60

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$20.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$11.1k

Last 30 days −$79 · $112.7k volume · 135 trades · since Nov 25, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$11.2k

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$250

Closed-position win rate

33%

6 closed

Wallet age · markets

698d

7 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 90.9¢	$10.1k	9%	198d ago	missed
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 90¢	$10.0k	90%	253d ago	called

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

SELL No @ 90.9¢$10.1k

LOW Rolandzc · 198d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 90¢$10.0k

LOW Rolandzc · 253d ago

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