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k1samid

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?+$100Yes · avg 11¢ → 16¢ · $355
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$16.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$46
Last 30 days +$192 · $88.0k volume · 22 trades · since Nov 25, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$2,325
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$2,299
Closed-position win rate
80%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
333d
10 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.0k0% 144d agoexcluded

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