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0x407b…5c2b

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$26.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$10
Last 30 days −$3 · $26.8k volume · 41 trades · since Feb 02, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$5
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$5
Closed-position win rate
92%
25 closed
Wallet age · markets
264d
27 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ $13.0k2% 264d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $13.0k98% 264d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x407b3c…