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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$54.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$39.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $198.7k volume · 16 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$39.7k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$519
Closed-position win rate
67%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
6 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.3¢ | $42.1k | excluded |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3fc6b8…