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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +11.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$140.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$89.5k
Last 30 days −$5,396 · $15.00M volume · 10,429 trades · since Aug 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.76M
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$18.6k
Closed-position win rate
98%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
419d
920 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +11.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $14.7k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 99.7¢ | $19.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 96¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Clippers @ 51¢ | $66.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3f5ea0…