Wagmi420

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?+$42No · avg 70¢ → 78¢ · $402 US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?+$2No · avg 94¢ → 97.1¢ · $58 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?−$51Yes · avg 21¢ → 10¢ · $51 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? −$83Yes · avg 36¢ → 8¢ · $24 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?−$38Yes · avg 6¢ → 2.2¢ · $22 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?−$28Yes · avg 5¢ → 2.2¢ · $22 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?−$176Yes · avg 80¢ → 8.5¢ · $21 Stripe IPO before 2027?−$65Yes · avg 11¢ → 2.1¢ · $15

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$96.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$13.5k

Last 30 days −$46 · $2.60M volume · 4,238 trades · since Oct 07, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$112.8k

Open P&L · 91 positions

−$34.8k

Closed-position win rate

91%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

382d

766 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 92.7¢	$10.5k	7%	130d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 83¢	$12.6k	17%	131d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$18.3k	100%	185d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢	$21.0k	0%	199d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$22.7k	100%	199d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢	$11.9k	74%	199d ago	excluded

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

SELL Yes @ 92.7¢$10.5k

LOW Wagmi420 · 130d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

SELL Yes @ 83¢$12.6k

LOW Wagmi420 · 131d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$18.3k

LOW Wagmi420 · 185d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.6¢$21.0k

LOW Wagmi420 · 199d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$22.7k

LOW Wagmi420 · 199d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 74¢$11.9k

LOW Wagmi420 · 199d ago

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