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+$1No · avg 92.7¢ → 98.2¢ · $10−$0No · avg 92.2¢ → 90.5¢ · $9−$2No · avg 62¢ → 48¢ · $7+$2No · avg 68¢ → 91.1¢ · $7
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$12.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,222
Last 30 days −$114 · $204.4k volume · 1,741 trades · since Jan 17, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,586
Open P&L · 23 positions
−$362
Closed-position win rate
83%
166 closed
Wallet age · markets
280d
183 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x398816…