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+$1,119No · avg 89¢ → 97.8¢ · $12.1k+$365No · avg 92.9¢ → 97¢ · $8,824+$715No · avg 87¢ → 95.9¢ · $8,129+$689No · avg 86¢ → 96.3¢ · $6,145+$358No · avg 89¢ → 95.8¢ · $5,255+$1No · avg 90¢ → 97.1¢ · $15
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$22.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,858
Last 30 days +$481 · $482.6k volume · 1,320 trades · since Oct 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,166
Open P&L · 6 positions
+$3,247
Closed-position win rate
93%
183 closed
Wallet age · markets
372d
189 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x397e86…