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0x385c…6e38

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$514.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,182
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.61M volume · 276 trades · since Mar 21, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$16.7k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$12.5k
Closed-position win rate
62%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
218d
14 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $100.0k100% 129d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $148.8k99% 143d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $73.4k100% 177d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $45.9k100% 177d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $146.2k0% 199d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x385c8d…