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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -68.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-68.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$106.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$70.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.41M volume · 904 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$97.7k
Open P&L · 31 positions
−$165.5k
Closed-position win rate
89%
38 closed
Wallet age · markets
131d
68 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -68.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $49.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $14.3k | called |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $13.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x374b77…