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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$187.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$85.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.23M volume · 105 trades · since May 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$10.4k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$94.8k
Closed-position win rate
79%
34 closed
Wallet age · markets
154d
39 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $81.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $38.2k | called |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $27.8k | missed |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $20.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2e01f8…