← Wallets
−$2,005Yes · avg 21¢ → 5.5¢ · $695−$880Yes · avg 15¢ → 3¢ · $217+$33Yes · avg 74¢ → 98.3¢ · $133−$13No · avg 49¢ → 36¢ · $37
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -47.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-47.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$25.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$25.3k
Last 30 days −$657 · $382.4k volume · 192 trades · since Apr 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,105
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$32.2k
Closed-position win rate
90%
61 closed
Wallet age · markets
568d
87 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -82.0 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -12.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ | $13.5k | missed | |
| LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $12.4k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2d0976…