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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$148.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.06M volume · 101 trades · since Nov 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.0k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$9,268
Closed-position win rate
59%
41 closed
Wallet age · markets
713d
46 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $15.7k | missed |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $13.8k | called |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 67¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 69¢ | $11.5k | called |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 68¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 69¢ | $10.1k | called |
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $16.4k | called |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 98¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 79¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
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