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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$87.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$196
Last 30 days +$0 · $300.1k volume · 154 trades · since Feb 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$5,251
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$4,628
Closed-position win rate
83%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
246d
19 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 96.1¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 93.9¢ | $14.1k | called |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 63¢ | $14.1k | called |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $14.4k | missed |
 Spurs vs. Pistons | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Spurs @ 98.4¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x28162a…