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+$87No · avg 92.7¢ → 95.5¢ · $3,014+$25No · avg 94¢ → 96.1¢ · $1,127
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +38.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+38.9 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$22.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$116
Last 30 days +$22 · $399.1k volume · 489 trades · since Mar 02, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,468
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$6,603
Closed-position win rate
59%
29 closed
Wallet age · markets
236d
32 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +38.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $12.2k | called |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2549bb…