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+$225No · avg 72¢ → 72¢ · $32.6k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$14No · avg 66¢ → 96.9¢ · $44
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -48.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-48.6 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$23.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$114.0k
Last 30 days +$32 · $10.35M volume · 4,084 trades · since Jan 18, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$113.8k
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$239
Closed-position win rate
65%
243 closed
Wallet age · markets
645d
220 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -48.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
 US recession in 2025? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $11.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x218f91…