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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -53.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-53.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$50.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$231.3k
Last 30 days −$0 · $3.32M volume · 783 trades · since Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$231.3k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
43%
394 closed
Wallet age · markets
193d
385 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -53.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 53¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2114c6…