← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +8.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+8.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$109.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$278.8k
Last 30 days −$25.1k · $2.15M volume · 1,308 trades · since Dec 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$278.8k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
80%
90 closed
Wallet age · markets
324d
88 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +11.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
 Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $19.9k | called |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $25.0k | called |
 Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
 Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | LOW BUY Hurricanes @ 95¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x20f4cab4a053fab360c05cd9300df9d678f715e1"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x20f4cab4a053fab360c05cd9300df9d678f715e1.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x20f4ca…