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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +40.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+40.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$243.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$18.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.88M volume · 727 trades · since Apr 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$136.1k
Open P&L · 87 positions
−$115.1k
Closed-position win rate
73%
157 closed
Wallet age · markets
191d
246 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +40.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs | MED BUY Team Falcons @ 55¢ | $65.5k | excluded |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 57¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 60¢ | $30.7k | called |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $78.5k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $45.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1fac58…